Le Moyne
W-L: (14- 4) PR = 77.0447Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 215 A Presbyterian Big South ( 5-12, 70.8) 11- 8 217 A Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 13- 9 221 H Niagara Metro Atlan ( 8- 9, 78.4) 7- 8 225 A Binghamton America Eas ( 6- 9, 80.0) 11-10 228 A Manhattan Metro Atlan ( 3-14, 72.0) 16-10 307 H Siena Metro Atlan (12- 7, 81.9) 10- 7 311 A Canisius Metro Atlan (12- 5, 81.1) 7-12 314 H Stonehill Northeast (13- 7, 78.5) 11- 9 321 A Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3-13, 67.8) 14-12 325 H Mercyhurst Northeast ( 3-11, 67.2) 18- 1 328 H Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 74.0) 9- 8 404 A New Haven Northeast ( 5- 9, 70.1) 12-11 408 H Delaware State Northeast ( 0-17, 59.7) 20- 3 412 A LIU Northeast (10- 7, 74.9) 7-10 418 H Fairleigh Dickinson Northeast (10- 8, 72.4) 11- 7 425 A Central Connecticut Northeast ( 1-14, 63.2) 22- 8 430 H Fairleigh Dickinson Northeast (10- 8, 72.4) 16- 6 502 H Stonehill Northeast (13- 7, 78.5) 8-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
215 A Presbyterian 11- 8 3 5 -1.89
217 A Wofford 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 4.63
221 H Niagara 7- 8 -1 0 -1.06
225 A Binghamton 11-10 1 -4 ++ 5.33
228 A Manhattan 16-10 6 4 + 2.31
307 H Siena 10- 7 3 -3 +++ 6.47
311 A Canisius 7-12 -5 -5 0.47
314 H Stonehill 11- 9 2 0 + 2.09
321 A Howard (DC) 14-12 2 8 -- -5.91
325 H Mercyhurst 18- 1 17 11 + 2.76
328 H Wagner 9- 8 1 4 - -3.46
404 A New Haven 12-11 1 6 -- -4.59
408 H Delaware State 20- 3 17 19 0.00
412 A LIU 7-10 -3 1 - -3.76
418 H Fairleigh Dickinson 11- 7 4 6 - -2.01
425 A Central Connecticut 22- 8 14 12 1.54
430 H Fairleigh Dickinson 16- 6 10 6 + 3.99
502 H Stonehill 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.91
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 H Stonehill 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.91 321 A Howard (DC) 14-12 2 8 -- -5.91 404 A New Haven 12-11 1 6 -- -4.59 328 H Wagner 9- 8 1 4 - -3.46 412 A LIU 7-10 -3 1 - -3.76 418 H Fairleigh Dickinson 11- 7 4 6 - -2.01 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Siena 10- 7 3 -3 +++ 6.47 217 A Wofford 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 4.63 225 A Binghamton 11-10 1 -4 ++ 5.33 228 A Manhattan 16-10 6 4 + 2.31 314 H Stonehill 11- 9 2 0 + 2.09 325 H Mercyhurst 18- 1 17 11 + 2.76 430 H Fairleigh Dickinson 16- 6 10 6 + 3.99 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Presbyterian ( 5-12, 70.8) 11- 8 -29.12 11.05 1.37 0.96 23.90
3 A Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 13- 9 -23.60 16.57 1.37 0.96 34.53
3 H Niagara ( 8- 9, 78.4) 7- 8 -21.55 18.62 -1.37 0.96 -11.03
3 A Binghamton ( 6- 9, 80.0) 11-10 -19.89 20.27 1.37 0.96 41.66
3 A Manhattan ( 3-14, 72.0) 16-10 -27.91 12.26 1.37 0.96 26.22
3 H Siena (12- 7, 81.9) 10- 7 -18.01 22.16 -1.37 0.96 40.01
3 A Canisius (12- 5, 81.1) 7-12 -18.75 21.42 1.37 0.96 -8.37
3 H Stonehill (13- 7, 78.5) 11- 9 -21.40 18.77 -1.37 0.96 33.50
3 A Howard (DC) ( 3-13, 67.8) 14-12 -32.13 8.03 1.37 0.96 18.09
3 H Mercyhurst ( 3-11, 67.2) 18- 1 -32.73 7.44 -1.37 0.96 11.69
3 H Wagner ( 6- 9, 74.0) 9- 8 -25.95 14.22 -1.37 0.96 24.74
3 A New Haven ( 5- 9, 70.1) 12-11 -29.81 10.35 1.37 0.96 22.56
3 H Delaware State ( 0-17, 59.7) 20- 3 -40.17 1.00 -1.37 0.96 -0.71
3 A LIU (10- 7, 74.9) 7-10 -24.98 15.19 1.37 0.96 -11.36
3 H Fairleigh Dick (10- 8, 72.4) 11- 7 -27.50 12.67 -1.37 0.96 21.75
3 A Central Connec ( 1-14, 63.2) 22- 8 -36.68 3.49 1.37 0.96 9.35
3 H Fairleigh Dick (10- 8, 72.4) 16- 6 -27.50 12.67 -1.37 0.96 21.75
3 H Stonehill (13- 7, 78.5) 8-15 -21.40 18.77 -1.37 0.96 -10.95
------
287.34
|
winning pts = 329.0469 losing points = -41.7092
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------